Courses
ODDS Online Coaching
Links

Stock Options

video_text

Links

Module 5

Module Structure

Anticipating Uncertainty: Straddles Around Earnings Announcements

Course Structure

Getting Started

Learn to Navigate the Features of ODDS Online

Basic Navigation & Strategy Wizard

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Scanning the Market

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Getting Raw Data

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Saving Trades & Creating Watchlists

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Five Quick Paths to a Trade

How to find trade when I Know the Stock & I Know the Strategy

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How to find trade when I Know the Strategy, But I Don't Know the Stock

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How to find trade when I Know the Stock, But I Don't Know the Strategy

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How to find trade when I Don't Know the Stock or the Strategy

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How to find trade when I Know Exactly What I Want

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Helpful Videos

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How does the MDM graph help me find the best price? Part 1

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How does the MDM graph help me find the best price? Part 2 FOV

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Join the Live Coaching Session at 2 pm ET When the Market is Open

Join the Live Coaching Session

Held At 2pm ET Daily When The Market Is Open

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Need Help Joining the Live Session?

Webex Help & Tutorial

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Video Instruction For Entering Webex Meeting Using Windows

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Video Instruction For Entering Webex Meeting Using Mac

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Video Instruction For Entering Webex Meeting Using IOS Devices

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2021 Recorded Coaching Sessions

January

1/4/21 First New Trade of the Year Evaluation

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1/5/21 Review of 2020 trades.

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1/6/21 The Process I Use to Find High Probability Credit Spreads.

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1/7/21 Comparing Short Put and Credit Spreads as Income Strategies

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1/8/21 Evaluating a call trade

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1/11/21 My process for finding straddle trades

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1/12/21 New trade evaluations

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1/13/21 New Credit Spread and Review open trades

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1/14/21 Searching Highest Probability Trades in ODDS Online

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1/15/21 Evaluating NIO for a Straddle Trade

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1/19/21 When do you exit? (multiple strategies)

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1/20/21 When you see something unusual "Ask Why? Before You Try!" to exploit it.

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1/21/21 Index Credit Spread Evaluation

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1/22/21 Credit Spread Exit

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1/25/21 New Credit Spread & Why might we exit early this week?

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1/26/21 Why exit credit spreads and not straddles before FOMC meeting?

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1/27/21 Evaluating Credit Spreads

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1/28/21 What is the MOST important thing?

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1/29/21 Timing Volatility for Credit Spreads

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February

2/1/21 What is implied borrow rate?

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2/2/21 Evaluating Call & Put trades

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2/3/21 How do you exit trades gracefully on expiration?

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2/4/21 Quick rule for credit spread entry price

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2/5/20 What do you do when prices move overnight?

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2/8/21 How do you find Straddle trades?

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2/9/21 Implied Volatility & Credit Spreads

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2/10/21 How do you analyze Iron Condors?

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2/11/21 Evaluating an Index Credit Spread

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2/12/21 When should you use in-the-money debit spreads?

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2/16/21 How can you find stocks that are being heavily shorted in ODDS online?

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2/17/21 Evaluating a Credit Spread

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2/18/21 How do Risk Free Trades Work?

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2/19/21 Straddle rules, Old and New

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2/22/21 Why would I take a low probability trade?

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2/23/21 How to adjust a credit spread when it moves overnight?

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2/24/21 How do you use the Strategy Wizard to find trades based on your future expectations?

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2/26/21 How to you handle credit spreads when the stock moves against your position?

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March

3/1/21 How do you analyze a call trade?

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Downloads

ODDS Coaching Trade Journal

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Combining Hedge Fund Straddles & Ask/Value Decile 1 Scans

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Combining Ask/Value Decile 10 & Volatility Percentile Scans

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Trade Plan Template

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What Are Options Free Probability Calculator

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Links

Anticipating Uncertainty: Straddles Around Earnings Announcements

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2020 Recorded Coaching Sessions (Archives)

January

1/7/20 Selecting Credit Spread Expiration dates and when is the best time to enter

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1/14/20 What if prices change from last night to the open? Straddle homework

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1/21/20 Parity & Risk Free Trades, Stocks to Avoid

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1/28/20 Credit Spreads & Selling Strategies, Don Comments On Market Fragility

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February

2/4/20 Finding good trades is more important than finding a trade

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2/11/20 Why TSLA was so expensive but you couldn't find a selling strategy to use.

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2-18-20 Process for Buying Calls and discussion about when Covered Calls work

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2/25/20 Process for Iron Condors/Butterfly's and Discussion about moving from technical analysis on stock to options trading

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March (Started Daily Coaching Sessions to Help During The Pandemic)

3/3/20 Why not Puts right now? Debit Spread Process

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3/10/20 Why are deciles small in wild market? What do I need to know about exit?

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3/16/20 Introduction

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3/17/20 Stress testing Credit spreads & a visit from Don

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3/18/20 Comparing Strategies in ODDS Online, Call Credit Spread & Buy Put

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3/19/20 Put Credit Spreads vs Call Credit Spreads

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3/20/20 Exiting your Options Trades Which Way Is Best

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3/24/20 Finding Credit Spreads and stress testing them

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3/25/20 Finding credit spreads and Introducing new beta feature Volatility Maps

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3/27/20 Discussed Liquidity, Adjusting Credit Spreads, & Leveraged Directional Trades

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3/30/20 covered leaps, and questions for you

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3/31/20 Strategy Wizard for Credit Spreads

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April

4/1/20 Exiting trades that move against you, and Finding new Credit Spread Trades

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4/2/20 Abnormal Probability Where Does it Come From? & Credit Spreads Vince's Way

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4/3/20 Credit Spreads and Stress Testing

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4/6/20 Credit Spreads and using the Profit/Loss Graph, Thank you for the help Pat!

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4/7/20 Why Put Credit Spreads not Calls?

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4/8/20 Credit Spreads & Expected Return

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4/9/20 When to Buy Options When to Sell them

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4/13/20 Using the Class Trade Journal & Assignment Risk Selling Credit Spreads

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4/14/20 Term Structure & Expiration Dates

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4/15/20 Let Implied Volatility Tell You What to Trade & When

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4/16/20 Thinking for Non-Directional Options Strategies, Why Sell Puts Not Calls

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4/17/20 Using the Strategy Wizard for Credit Spreads

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4/20/20 How to manage exercise risk in a credit spread

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4/21/20 How do you decide to adjust a credit spread when the market moves

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4/22/20 How to select the right strike in a credit spread & How to submit homework

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4/23/20 How to handle overlapping credit spreads & Option Pain Graph

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4/24/20 Volatility Cones & Term Structure graphs, Diagonal Credit Spreads

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4/27/20 Term Structure Change in SPY & the reason why straddles are not the right strategy for high volatility markets

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4/28/20 How does the historical profit/loss graph & HRH work?

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4/29/20 Open Interest in the filters & Negative FOV

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4/30/20 Expected Return

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May

5/1/20 Credit Spread Exit & Defending a Trade That Moves Against You

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5/4/20 Which implied volatility do you use for probability and what target price?https://vimeo.com/415254824

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5/5/20 Reading the mind of the market to select the right strategy at the right time

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5/6/20 Another High Volatility Strategy Debit Spreads

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5/7/20 Using & Understanding FOV and FOViv

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5/8/20 Weekend Effect and Market's Reaction to News

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5/11/20 What happens after the options expire?

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5/12/20 What should I know about after hours trading

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5/13/20 Defending a long call trade

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5/14/20 Evaluating Credit Spreads on Stocks

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5/15/20 Find a way to let the probability play out. This is why

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5/18/20 Using FOViv to evaluate your trades

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5/19/20 Evaluating Covered Calls & Short Puts

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5/20/20 Finding Debit Spreads and Understanding Implied Borrow Rate

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5/21/20 Term Structure & Academic Scan For Term Structure Slope

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5/22/20 Custom Term Structure Scanning

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5/26/20 Debit Spreads

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5/27/20 Scanning for Cheap Options on Flat Stocks and Scanning for High Volatility Stocks with Expensive Options

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5/28/20 continued... Scanning High Volatility Stocks

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5/29/20 Your Credit Spreads

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June

6/1/20 What do flags mean and where to I get the list of symbols for sectors in the strategy wizard

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6/2/20 Evaluating Covered Calls, Unusual Trades and Dispersion Trading

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6/3/20 Evaluating Straddle Trades

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6/4/20 How you might use ODDS Online to find a Diagonal Trade

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6/5/20 Strategy Wizard Forecaster

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6/8/20 Using the Profit Loss Graph To Adjust Prices Before Market Opens

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6/9/20 Back testing ability of ODDS Online

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6/10/20 Volatility as Indicator & Defending a Credit Spread

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6/11/20 Why is Volatility Up Today? Adjusting Trades When The Market Makes Big Moves Overnight

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6/12/20 Finding Debit Spreads

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6/15/20 Collars vs Call Debit Spreads

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6/16/20 How would you find a Back Spread trade in ODDS Online?

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6/17/20 Using Dispersion Trading to Win in All Markets

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6/18/20 Evaluating News for Profits

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6/19/20 Does Quadruple Witching Day Really Cause Increased Volatility?

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6/22/20 How Does Information Influence Stock and Options Prices?

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6/23/20 How do I start my daily process for finding a trade?

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6/24/20 New investors are trading options. Why? Because of the Huge Benefits!

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6/25/20 Challenge News Headlines to find the truth before you make investing decisions.

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6/26/20 Exiting Credit Spreads in a Volatile Market

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6/29/20 What is a Black Swan?

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6/30/20 Building a Trade Plan and Defining a Good Trade for You.

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July

7/1/20 Evaluating Trades from Other Sources.

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7/2/20 What Makes ODDS Online So Valuable?

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7/6/20 What is Option Delta & How Can I Make Money With It?

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7/7/20 If you hate to lose, watch this video. Learn how to recover when a high probability index put credit spread loses.

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7/8/20 You're not just beating average professionals. You're beating the elite pros during a crisis.

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7/10/20 Stocks have Personality and Moods. Learning to read the mood can make you money.

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7/13/20 Why is Options Information Better than Stock Information?

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7/14/20 What does a good trade look like?

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7/15/20 Avoiding Outcome Bias

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7/16/20 What is the best way to get filled on class trades?

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7/17/20 Exiting American Style Delivery Settled vs. European Style Cash Settled options

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7/20/20 Earnings Reports and their effect on our favorite options strategies.

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7/21/20 Finding ATM options in strategy wizard.

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7/22/20 Do Bid/Ask Spread Spreads Concern You?

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7/23/20 Straddles vs directional trades.

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7/24/20 My Criteria for Straddles and Call Debit Spreads.

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7/27/20 What are options? What are their benefits?

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7/28/20 What are Call Options? When should I consider them? How do I use ODDS Online to Find Potential Covered Leaps?

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7/29/20 What is a Straddle?

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7/30/20 What is a Put?

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7/31/20 What are Debit Spreads?

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August

8/3/20 What are Vertical Credit Spreads?

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8/4/20 What is a Covered Call?

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8/5/20 How do you exit an option trade?

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8/6/20 Why trade using neutral strategies?

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8/10/20 Implied Volatility is Nearing the 4-Year Average

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8/12/20 Straddle Questions

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8/13/20 Why Should You Understand Volatility?

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8/14/20 What should ODDS Online Be Used For?

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8/18/20 Using VIX & Finding Straddles

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8/19/20 The #1 Challenge for New Options Traders

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8/20/20 Finding Call Trades

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8/21/20 News Article: "Fear Fading" Makes Credit Spreads More Difficult to Find

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8/24/20 Introduction for new students & explanation of Stocks to Avoid

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8/25/20 Submitting Trades for Review Using the Trade Journal

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8/26/20 How do I work up a straddle trade on SPCE.

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8/27/20 Why do we prefer Put Credit Spreads?

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8/28/20 Exiting Credit Spreads & other Options

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8/31/20 How do you know if a straddle is cheap enough?

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September

9/1/20 Are high probability trades "Pie in the Sky?"

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9/2/20 Understanding Gamma (& Delta)

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9/3/20 Using Probability Cones to Roll

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9/4/20 Understanding Skew, & Naked Puts vs Credit Spreads

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9/8/20 How to work with Strategy Wizard when nothing shows up.

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9/9/20 Use ODDS Online to evaluate trades from other sources.

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9/10/20 Learn to Read the Mind of the Market

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9/11/20 Credit Spread Efficiency & Evaluating Strategies With Similar Risk, & Probability

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9/14/20 Adjusting Credit Spreads that have changed in price and probability.

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9/15/20 How to compare strategies while balancing risk, probability with reward potential.

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9/16/20 Using the Ask/Value Scan to find stocks with Cheap or Expensive Options

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9/17/20 How do you find a straddle trade?

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9/18/20 Steps for Finding a Credit Spread

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9/21/20 Process for finding Short Puts.

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9/22/20 Diversifying Credit Spreads and Rolling Options to Take Profits

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9/23/20 Using Probability Cones & Butterfly Spreads

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9/24/20 How do I use the Hedge Fund, Ask/Value lists from the community.

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9/25/20 Scanning Option Volume, and Risk/Margin on Short Puts.

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9/28/20 Volatility Expectations

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9/29/20 Straddle Exit & Hedge Fund Straddle Criteria

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9/30/20 How do you choose a trade when you have more than one good option?

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October

10/1/20 Stocks to Avoid & What can I do with a negative expected return?

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10/2/20 Dealing with changes in data from the time of research to the time of execution.

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10/5/20 Is AAPL a good straddle candidate? How do you use FOViv?

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10/6/20 Buying Straddles

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10/7/20 Option Valuation

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10/8/20 More on Valuation

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10/9/20 What's wrong with a TNDM straddle?

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10/12/20 Buying Stock vs Synthetic Position

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10/13/20 Iron Condors & Debit Spreads

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10/14/20 Straddle review on JPM

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10/16/20 Iron Condors and Trade Exits

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10/19/20 SPY Term Structure

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10/20/20 Event Risk

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10/21/20 Event Risk Continued

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10/22/20 Straddle Case Study: Example of a compelling reason to take a trade

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10/23/20 How much do I need to trade for a living?

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10/26/20 Straddles vs Strangles

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10/28/20 How do you find the right price for a credit spread?

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10/29/20 Election Volatility

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November

11/2/20 How do you determine volatility extremes?

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11/3/20 Straddle questions

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11/4/20 Finding a Call or Put trade using Ask/Value Scan

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11/5/20 How do you deal with price gaps on end of day data?

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11/9/20 Evaluating Credit Spreads

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11/11/20 How do I find options that are cheap in my watch list?

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11/12/20 How do you evaluate a call trade using ODDS Online?

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11/13/20 How to adjust for credit spreads when market moves overnight.

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11/16/20 Evaluating a Straddle on AAP

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11/17/20 Evaluating Submitted Credit Spread Trades.

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11/19/20 Calculating Probability

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11/20/20 Finding calls and puts

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11/23/20 Calculating Expected Return

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11/24/20 What happens to a credit spread when the stock splits?

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11/30/20 Trading Credit Spreads Opportunistically Part 1

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December

12/1/20 Trading Credit Spreads Opportunistically Part 2

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12/2/20 How do you stress test credit spreads?

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12/3/20 Evaluating a Straddle Trade

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12/4/20 Why to we need a big credit when we have a 90% probability?

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12/7/20 Understanding ODDS Online Data

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12/8/20 Strategy Checklists

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12/10/20 How is Borrow Rate Determined & What does Rolling Up mean?

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12/11/20 Finding Bryan's Credit Spread Trade

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12/14/20 Does Volatility Tell Us About Direction?

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12/15/20 How do you set the filters in the strategy wizard?

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12/16/20 Evaluating a credit spread trade

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12/17/20 What is OPI and how to evaluate stock data for straddles?

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12/18/15 Straddle Exit

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12/28/20 Trades Update & allocation question.

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12/29/20 Credit Spread Evaluation.

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12/30/20 What are fundamental reasons to not do a straddle trade? How do you find them?

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12/31/20 Review of 2020 Class Trade Journal

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2019 Recorded Coaching Sessions (Archives)

January

1/8/19 Finding Weeklys and Lots of Questions

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1/15/19 Questions about FOV

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1/22/19 How I find Straddles & Questions

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1/29/19 Probability on Puts and Calls, Questions

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February

2/5/19 Straddles, Volatility and Questions

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2/12/19 Alternative Strategies, New Time for Classes, Forum Announcement

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2/19/19 Early Exercise Questions & New Forum

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2/26/19 VVIX, Straddles, & Questions

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March

3/5/19 Straddle Finding & Market Psychology

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3/12/19 Straddle Finding by Ask/Value Scan

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3/19/19 Finding Straddles

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3/26/19 Exiting a Trade

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April

4/2/19 Implied Borrow Rate & Questions

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4/9/19 Using Term Structure Charts to Select Expirations

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4/16/19 Time Value, Exit Strategy, & FOV IV

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4/23/19 Credit Spreads in a Low Volatility Market

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4/30/19 Don's Visit to Class to Introduce FOV IV

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May

5/7/19 Credit Spreads and Volatility

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5/14/19 Straddle Exit and Credit Spread Entry

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5/21/19 Probability & Debit Spreads

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5/28/19 Straddle Exit

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June

6/4/19 Credit Spreads & MDM Charts

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6/11/19 Credit Spreads & Straddles

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6/18/19 Credit Spreads

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6/25/19 Straddle Breakeven Points & Determining The Best Way to Exit

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July

7/2/19 Implied Volatility, IV Percentile & IV Rank

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7/9/19 Using Options for Earnings Play

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7/16/19 Selecting Straddle Expirations

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7/23/19 Using ODDS Online to figure out the answer to the question, Why?

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7/30/19 Finding a Straddle Process Start to Finish

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August

8/6/19 Finding a Credit Spread Trade

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8/20/19 Balancing Risk, Reward & Probability, Find Out Everything You Can About an Asset Before You Trade It

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8/27/19 Covered Calls and Alternatives

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September

9/3/19 Risk Free Trades

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9/10/19 Implied Borrow Rate & using Strategy Wizard

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9/17/19 When to use Iron Condor credit spreads

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9/24/19 Straddle Exit & Taming Emotions

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October

10/1/19 Having Reasonable Expectations & Using Tools Wisely

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10/8/19 Credit Spreads and What to look for on MDM chart for a credit spread

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10/22/19 Covered Calls and Strategy Wizard Results

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10/29/19 Questions for you and a straddle trade.

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November

11/5/19 Why add Probability Analysis to Your Investing

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11/12/19 How to achieve your investing goals

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11/19/19 Defending Credit Spreads When They Move Against You

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11/26/19 Follow up questions from last week & Finding Straddles

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December

12/3/19 Finding Credit Spread Trades

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12/10/19 Finding Straddles and how to decide about going past earnings

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12/17/19 Developing a Process for finding trades. (Straddles)

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12/31/19 Last class of the year

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2018 Recorded Coaching Sessions (Archives)

November

11/6/18 Covered Calls and Naked Puts

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11/13/18 Straddles & Record Keeping

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11/20/18 Strategy Section & Profit/Loss Graphs

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11/27/18 Time Value & Time Decay

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December

12/4/18 Questions and First Homework Done

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12/11/18 Updates & Balancing Risk, Reward & Probability

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12/18/18 Finding the Sweet Spot with MDM Charts

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Progress

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Instructor

Bryan Strain

Hello,

I'm Bryan Strain. I am the Director of Coaching here at ODDS. Don Fishback has been my mentor for over 2 decades. I will be your coach and instructor for this course. I've been very successful at teaching the ODDS methods of options trading for many years and I hope I can add your name to our list of successful investors. If you have any questions at all please reach out to me by email. My address is bstrain@donfishback.com

Archives

November 2020
October 2020
September 2020

Categories

Hedge Fund Straddles & Ask/Value
Other
Stocks to Avoid
Stocks With Cheap Options
Weekly Outlook

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